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Legal Definitions - cyclical

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Definition of cyclical

Cyclical

The term "cyclical" describes something, often a business, industry, or investment, that experiences regular and significant fluctuations or patterns over time. These predictable ups and downs are typically influenced by broader economic conditions, government policies, or seasonal changes, leading to recurring periods of strong performance followed by weaker performance, and vice versa.

Examples:

  • Consider the automotive manufacturing industry. During periods of strong economic growth and high consumer confidence, people are more likely to purchase new cars, leading to increased sales and profits for car manufacturers. Conversely, during economic downturns or recessions, consumers often delay large purchases like vehicles, causing a significant drop in demand and revenue for these companies. This pattern, driven by overall economic health, makes the automotive industry highly cyclical.

  • The luxury goods market, which includes high-end fashion, jewelry, and travel, also demonstrates cyclical behavior. When the economy is robust and disposable incomes are high, consumers are more inclined to spend on non-essential luxury items. However, during periods of economic uncertainty or recession, these discretionary purchases are often the first to be cut from household budgets, leading to a noticeable decline in sales for luxury brands. The demand for these goods directly mirrors the broader economic cycle.

  • Many businesses in the tourism and hospitality sector, particularly those dependent on specific weather conditions or holiday periods, exhibit cyclical patterns influenced by seasonality. For instance, ski resorts experience their peak demand and profitability during winter months, while coastal beach resorts thrive in the summer. Outside of these peak seasons, their business activity significantly decreases. This regular ebb and flow, tied to the time of year, makes these segments of the industry cyclical.

Simple Definition

A "cyclical" stock or industry is one that experiences significant price swings, often characterized by predictable patterns of growth and decline. These large fluctuations are typically driven by external factors such as overall economic conditions, government policies, and seasonal changes.

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